The slowdown in the Chinese economy will slash at least 5.0 billion dollars (3.3 billion US) from Australia's economy and endanger jobs, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has warned.
In a speech late Thursday, Rudd said China's latest growth figures — the lowest in seven years — meant its gross domestic product (GDP) would be 200 billion US dollars less than previously anticipated.
"And that means a massive five billion dollar fall immediately in Australian exports, just because of China alone, and with a consequential impact on Australian jobs," Rudd said.
China, Canberra's largest trading partner, buys about 25 billion dollars in exports annually, including commodities such as coal and iron ore. It provided the motor for Australia's stellar economic growth for nearly a decade.
Treasurer Wayne Swan said the fact that China's growth had slowed to 6.8 percent in the December quarter was proof the mining boom — which has driven Australia's economy for almost a decade — was coming to an end.
"There will be a very significant impact on government revenues flowing directly from the unwinding of the mining boom, particularly this dramatic slowing of Chinese growth," Swan said Friday.
Flagging demand for resources from the Asian powerhouse and other major nations would have a significant impact on Australia's 600 billion dollar economy, he said.
"A real feature of this global financial crisis, which is turning into a global recession, is the speed (of changes)," Swan said on local commercial radio.
"What we are now seeing in figures for the December quarter throughout the G7 (Group of Seven nations) and now in China and South Korea is a marked correction in growth, which is very sobering and which will have knock-on effects for countries like Australia."
The comments came as a report suggested the International Monetary Fund was preparing to slash Australia's economic growth forecast for 2009 to almost zero, from its current estimate of 1.8 percent, issued in November.
IMF Deputy Managing Director John Lipsky told The Australian newspaper the global recession was deepening, despite government stimulus efforts in the world's largest economies.
"The contraction in the major economies in the fourth quarter of last year was as striking and as severe as we have seen in modern times," Lipsky said. "Moreover there is no sign the contraction has stopped."
But Trade Minister Simon Crean said near-zero growth was "not our assessment" of Australia's economy.
"But clearly China is growing slower than we thought, and that is going to have an important impact," Crean said. "Australia is still one of the few developed countries to be forecast to be growing, albeit a lot slower than before."
The impact of the global slowdown is already being felt in Australia, with the two largest mining companies on the stock exchange, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, recently announcing they will slash thousands of jobs worldwide due to falling commodity prices.
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