Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Nuclear Energy News .




CIVIL NUCLEAR
Much to lose for Iran's Rouhani if no nuclear pact
by Staff Writers
Tehran (AFP) Nov 19, 2014


The Iranians conducting nuclear talks with world powers seem loath to use the word "compromise", but with much to lose President Hassan Rouhani may yet be pushing for a last-minute deal.

Negotiations to reach a final agreement on Iran's disputed atomic programme -- culminating this week in Vienna ahead of a November 24 deadline -- have divided the Islamic republic.

On one side stand hardline conservatives opposed to giving almost any ground to hated Western governments.

On the other is Rouhani, who put his credibility on the line and raised hopes of an end to isolation -- and the possibility of conflict -- by officially restarting the nuclear talks in 2013.

Standing in the middle is Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who will have the final word on any agreement, and whom Rouhani must convince of the merits of doing a deal.

Of all the powerbrokers in Tehran -- politicians, clerics, generals, business leaders and academics all have influence -- Rouhani has the most at stake if Khamenei does not ultimately back him.

"If these talks turn out to be a failure, or are seen as such, Mr Rouhani will be in a very difficult position," said Davoud Hermidas-Bavand, a Tehran-based analyst and veteran watcher of Iran's political scene.

"The die-hard groups who threaten the atmosphere of cooperation will say Mr Rouhani failed to do anything and it will be hard for him to tell the public that he has kept his promises," he added.

- Khamenei holds the cards -

Away from the nuclear negotiating table, Rouhani's plans to introduce more moderate domestic policies are under attack, as are his ministers -- one has already been impeached and dismissed by parliament.

On Tuesday, lawmakers for the second time refused to approve a replacement.

So it is especially important for Rouhani to win a nod from Khamenei for a deal, or even just on a framework for an extension.

The leader's towering influence would silence those critical of Rouhani and Iran's negotiators, led by Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.

Without such an endorsement, both Rouhani and Zarif could begin to look like lame ducks, said Siavush Randjbar-Daemi, a lecturer on Iran and the Middle East at Britain's Manchester University.

"A breakdown in the talks will weaken Rouhani and possibly cause the end of Zarif's tenure as foreign minister," Randjbar-Daemi said.

The big question is whether Rouhani can balance his desire for a deal with Iran's need to save face and preserve its nuclear programme.

- Upping the stakes -

Talks between Iran and the P5+1 powers (UN Security Council members Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States plus Germany) have been taking place in a better atmosphere than in the past but momentum has stalled lately.

And Tehran's price for reaching an agreement has been steadily ticking up.

On July 7 -- just 13 days before an original deadline for a final deal -- Khamenei laid down new conditions, stating Iran would eventually require a uranium enrichment capacity almost 20 times greater than at present.

The West had wanted a reduction and that deadline was missed.

In the past month Iran again raised the stakes, demanding a total immediate lifting of sanctions imposed by the United States, the UN Security Council and the European Union -- a condition seen as inflated and impractical.

While this may be a negotiating ploy, Zarif's team could lose out if there is no compromise, said Randjbar-Daemi.

"I believe this is the message the Iranians will deliver privately and discreetly in Vienna -- that of a possibly very different team showing up, if and when talks resume after the current round breaks down," he said.

"There is a need to strike a deal while there is leeway to do so."

Economic forces are also at play. Without an agreement it is hard to see how foreign investment, promoted aggressively by the government as a boon to jobs, can return.

"What Rouhani will have to face, should the talks end without result, is a very sullen atmosphere in the business sector, which had pinned much hope in a deal being reached," Randjbar-Daemi added.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
Nuclear Power News - Nuclear Science, Nuclear Technology
Powering The World in the 21st Century at Energy-Daily.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








CIVIL NUCLEAR
France's Areva on the ropes after it suspends targets
Paris (AFP) Nov 19, 2014
Areva's share price plunged on Wednesday after the struggling French nuclear giant abandoned its financial targets for the next two years. The company's shares fell 16 percent to end the day at 10.13 euros while the CAC 40 index rose 0.26 percent to 4,273.35. Trading in the shares of the company - 87-percent owned by the French state - was suspended on Tuesday after leaks, later confir ... read more


CIVIL NUCLEAR
WELTEC builds Biogas Plants in Greece

Lockheed Martin to build 5-megawatt bioenergy facility in Germany

Researchers find way to turn sawdust into gasoline

Exploding excrement topples building in China

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Blu-ray disc can be used to improve solar cell performance

Trina Signs 10 MW EPC Agreement with Jordan

Renewable energy improves stock price of mining companies

Single-atom layers that snap together like Lego

CIVIL NUCLEAR
New acreage available for U.S. offshore wind energy

Labor building behind East Coast wind energy industry

AREVA maintenance contract for five years renewed in the North Sea

Moventas completes first ever Clipper up-tower service

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Bit Stew Systems Announce Major Expansion in Australia

After nuclear phase-out, Germany debates scrapping coal

China's new 'Great Wall' not so great

China eyes investments in Slovenia infrastructure

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Germany eyes capping coal use to meet emissions target

Chinese power companies pursue smart grids

China seeks to cap coal use at 4.2 bn tonnes by 2020

VTT demonstrates new technique for generating electricity

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Follow the Dust to Find Planets

NASA's TESS mission cleared for next development phase

ADS primes ESA's CHEOPS to detect and classify exoplanets

NASA's TESS Mission Cleared for Next Development Phase

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Airbus building periscope maintenance plant in India

Fabrication starts on Navy's new air-cushioned landing craft

Unidentified Asian country orders ECA naval simulators

Ukraine expects France to wriggle out of Russia warship delivery

CIVIL NUCLEAR
Second Time Through, Mars Rover Examines Chosen Rocks

Mars was warm enough for flowing water, but only briefly

Several Drives Push Opportunity Over 41-Kilometer Mark

Lockheed Martin Begins Final Assembly Of Next Mars Lander




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.